Joe Biden turns his back on Saudi Arabia and Israel … and Iran is a central player.

italiatelegraph

 

 

 

 

Amjad Ismail Al-Agha

 

 

In an indication of the extent of the Joe Biden administration’s cautious approach towards the Middle East files, specifically with regard to approaches and prioritization towards Iran and its nuclear file; Washington’s fear appears clear about confronting a broad Middle Eastern alliance against Iran, consisting of Israel and some Gulf states, as US Secretary of State Anthony Blinken said that “it is extremely important to consult with Israel and the Gulf states before entering into a new deal with Iran.” Seeking to prevent the American administration from returning to the equation of the nuclear deal and its haunting arrangements for Israel and Saudi Arabia, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has every incentive to work to widen the gap between Washington and Tehran. Indeed, ensuring that Iran remains the “bugaboo” of the Middle East, will be a strategic priority for Israel. While working to focus the hostility against it by regional and international countries, this matter is the common interest of Israel and some Gulf states.

In the same context, Israel is wary of the behavior of US President Joe Biden in terms of normalization agreements, which Israel fears and threatens to stop the process of normalization, as watching President Biden’s first speech, in which he formally launched his doctrine in foreign policy, indicates a real revolution. In terms of the goals and priorities of the new administration, which would affect the process of regional normalization, and directly on Israel.

The sum of what Biden put forward in his speech establishes a new phase that differs in form and content from that of Trump, the frameworks that titled Biden’s speech highlight his aspiration to cut immediately from the global and regional policy of his predecessor Donald Trump, as the latter engineered his behavior in the regional arena on the continuous supply of advanced weapons to Saudi Arabia, with the aim of making it A regional power that enjoys security and possesses the means of defense that enable it to achieve deterrence against Iran, and at the same time advanced weapons allow it to exert continuous military pressure on the Houthis in Yemen.

Within the general framework of the US arms supply policy to Riyadh, there is a fundamental goal that lies in the formation of an incentive for the Saudi regime to provide support for the “peaceful regional” process, meaning normalization with Israel, in the hope that Riyadh will later give its blessing and sponsorship of the “Abraham Accords”. The same applies to the Emirates Which has signed the normalization agreement with Israel, which explicitly translates the role of the American mediator led by Trump in activating the normalization agreements; On a parallel side, the Biden administration decided to implement a sudden detour, with an immediate freeze on all arms deals with Saudi Arabia and the UAE, including the F-35 aircraft deal, which constituted a central pillar in Abu Dhabi’s decision regarding normalization with Tel Aviv.

Ostensibly, and with a declared and clear goal in terms of stopping the military and logistical assistance to the Saudi coalition fighting in Yemen, which has caused an endless number of humanitarian catastrophes, yet under this “moral” cover, which reflects Biden’s wish to establish his foreign policy on the basis of my values, it is not difficult for us. To diagnose a set of purely strategic considerations, at the center of which stands the desire to send a message of positive intent to Iran.

Accordingly, freezing aid to the traditional allies of the United States in the Gulf is a clear signal to Tehran of the intention of the US administration led by Biden, as the tools of “deterrence” that were provided to Saudi Arabia in the war on Yemen are replaced by more conciliatory tools and means, that is, an explicit approach to soft-power diplomacy. ; In the depth of Biden’s tendencies, which were summarized by his speech, it is clear that the steps to freeze arms deals, in particular against Washington’s traditional partners, are supposed to build confidence with Tehran and pave the way for the resumption of negotiations on the issue of the nuclear agreement.

Within the foregoing, Iran will be among the new American trends, as the central player in the region, but it is too early to set a logical conception of what will happen in a complex and complex regional environment, but there is room to assume that the American effort to immediately ease the tension with Tehran will severely touch the basis for ” Abraham Accords, “and at the same time it will stop the march of its expansion and its transfer to other regions.

In this sense, Biden has turned his back on Washington’s traditional partners, and the central status in this context has shifted to Iran. It is true that the American has stopped arms deals with Saudi Arabia and the UAE, and it is true that the American statements regarding Israeli sovereignty over the occupied Syrian Golan have insulted the Israelis and opened the door to questions about the upcoming, but it is also true that Biden launched an implicit reconciliation with Iran.

In conclusion, based on the double standard revealed by US President Joe Biden’s behavior since the early days of his rule; At the same time that Saudi Arabia and the UAE are immediately punished for their activities in Yemen, his administration sent a strong message to Israel regarding the problematic of its sovereignty over the occupied Syrian Golan, as well as Biden’s delayed contact with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, culminating in the absence of Biden’s condemnation of Iran’s “regional behavior.” “During his speech, all of this gives a clear indication of the fundamental difference from Trump’s policies, but despite that, the coming days will be clearly evident whether we are really at least in the Iranian context, and at the beginning of a journey in the tunnel back to the era of Barack Obama, which Biden took over at the time. His deputy position over eight years. As a result, the next stage and its features appear to be revealed, but it still contains mysterious particles and needs to be refuted to dispel the ambiguity of the region mired in crises and challenges.

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