Syria and the interests chessboard … conflicts of an international character

italiatelegraph

Written by : Amjad Ismail Al-Agha

In the depth of the Syrian scene and its effects and repercussions on the overall scenes of the Middle East, it is clear to us that the conflict in Syria has transformed, according to the agendas of some forces, into a struggle over Syria in terms of content and objectives, so that these forces share interests in the search for a political solution, with participation. They vary in different proportions in drawing the borders of the Syrian geography, in addition to setting the determinants of what developments will to lead .

All this is not only for the sake of reaching an agreement to solve the Syrian issue, but also in defining the role that each party will play in the post-solution period. In this context, the Syrian geographical chessboard is based on the requirements of temporary interests, as well as long-term strategic interests, between the various active and influential forces in the Syrian affairs.

It is self-evident to say that most of the agreements that frame the Syrian file have not and will not deviate from the timing of Damascus, but according to the strategic equations that unite Syria with the rest of its allies, it is necessary to adhere to a set of basic rules, and to label them with the terms of sovereignty and political solutions.

It is also self-evident to say that Damascus’s allies, especially Moscow and Tehran, will have the lion’s share in the post-solution phase, and in the strategic description it is necessary to place policy points on the letters of interests and goals, and this is logical given the participatory equations between Damascus, Moscow and Tehran.

However, dealing with the Syrian state remains at all levels, framed by the ABCs of sovereignty, the strength of the political position and the clarity of its objectives and contents in Damascus, with a focus on a fundamental part related to the geostrategic position of the Syrian state, and the need for Damascus allies to invest this site and employ it in their plans towards the whole region.

From here we can read the recent Russian visit to Damascus from the perspective of interests, their sharing and long-term strategic partnership, and this is logical given a set of factors that can be summarized according to two facts:

First – Russia is aware that the Syrian file has taken its final form, according to political, military and economic foundations, and in favor of the logic of interests, Russia wants to lay down new structural foundations for the post-war period, specifically in the parts of Russian investment in Syria and reconstruction.

From here it seems logical that forty projects are on their way to see the light soon, within the framework of an equation that has begun to take shape definitively, in terms of a complete and comprehensive political solution.

The second – the Russian visit means, in one way or another, that the Caesar Act has been successfully breached, emptied of its content and strategic dimension, and thus the nerve of the Syrian economy will be far from the American grip, as well as most of the upcoming investments will be far from American influences, as it is not reasonable for Trump or Any upcoming US administration will direct strikes on Russia, especially since the Russian Tsar has proven that it is an invincible global brand.

Within that, and in the course of interests, it also appears that Iran, with a soft grip, is seeking to have a share in the post-war economic investment.

Balances, with their economic dimension and the Iranian model in bypassing the American sanctions, and turning the blockade into advantages and privileges, this equation will be transferred as it is to Syria and apply reality, and therefore the essence of the Syrian-Iranian relations establishes economic and strategic interests, and between Damascus and Tehran, a strategic depth has been strengthened through 23 economic agreements. As well as the foundations for military cooperation and support for Damascus in the war imposed on it.

According to its agenda in Syria, Turkey represents a dimension of a regional and international conflict whose features are evident in the geography of northeastern Syria, and therefore the concern of the Turkish regime is no longer merely to establish its presence in a country that is its most sensitive neighbor. This has surpassed it through three military operations launched in the past four years, and strengthened With its military and political presence, and the transfer of its goals in a dramatic way, from protecting Turkish national security, to supporting terrorist groups inside Syria, to military incursion into the Syrian geography, under the foundations of political agreements.

Turkey, which avoids in its policies towards Syria, following a collision course with different and influential actors in the Syrian crisis, such as Iran, the ally of the Syrian state, which is strongly present on its side with Russia.

Turkey is also keen, despite the apparent tensions in the relationship with the United States about the position on Syria with regard to the Kurds, to obtain American approval for Turkish steps there, and the last is not late in that, and Turkey’s three operations in Syria have received American approval.

In the same context, Israel also registers an indirect presence in Syria, except with regard to the issue of Iran and its presence and its allies near the ceasefire line on the front with Syria, but in politics with Russia it shows constant concern for rapprochement and understanding, despite the divergence between the two sides The position on the Syrian issue and its files.

On a parallel side, we cannot deny that the most important actor in sharing roles, policies and interests is the United States, which plays a dual role.

In principle, Washington, like the rest of the parties in Syria, has military representation and bases in the Syrian geography, in addition to the presence of the Syrian Democratic Forces, which is Washington’s military arm in northeastern Syria, and is ready to march with Washington to the end.

The most important thing that Washington is doing is that it places itself in the position of a godfather who supervises all the interfering in Syria, as it scrutinizes the policies and strategies of all powers, and to achieve this, it initiates indirect military methods, to announce its objection or protest against the policies of some parties, specifically those who They are linked to vital and strategic interests, but their objections and protests to the policies and stances of some parties do not make them go to a conclusion against them, which contributed to the survival and continuation of their policies in Syria.

The top of the above, it is clear that the overlapping regional and international roles and policies in Syria continue with specific levels of alignment and alignment, in order to implement its strategy, and these policies may be applied according to soft mechanisms, and at other times by crude force.

And because Washington was one of these parties, it increases its care for the general situation and controls it, according to its strategic foundations that it shares with Russia. All of this remains hidden under the descriptions of interests and strategic partnerships, but in reality it is an international conflict, the events of which take place in Syria and above Interests chess.

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