Palestinian developments and the American elections… impacts and results.

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Dr. Hassan Merhej, expert on Syrian and Middle Eastern affairs.

Important regional developments will have direct impacts on international issues. This approach has become clear through what is taking place in the Palestinian territories and the war on Gaza, and the resulting demonstrations in European countries as well as the United States, especially since the demonstrations witnessed by the United States were the first of their kind, in terms of the number of participants as well as their raising slogans against the support policy. The United States supported Israel in its war against Gaza, and most importantly, the demonstrations that surrounded the White House stressed the necessity of rescuing the Palestinians and bringing about a ceasefire. All of this comes at a crucial American time that will witness the presidential elections in the United States during the coming period.

The reality of the situation confirms that the impact of Palestinian developments on the American elections depends on several factors. The Palestinian-Israeli conflict and developments related to it may sometimes affect the positions of American candidates and their decisions with regard to foreign affairs and Middle Eastern politics, and tensions in the region may lead to an increase in the candidates’ interest in affairs. Palestinian and Israeli, and thus may have an impact on their level of support for one of the sides or their positions on resolving the conflict. But today the picture seems different. Despite the United States’ unlimited support for Israel, today there is a different opinion within the United States, represented by the necessity of putting an end to the tensions in Palestine, and the fear of expanding the scope of confrontations, and the Americans are not prepared to repeat the experience of the war in Afghanistan or Iraq.

In addition, developments in Palestine may affect the interest and perception of the American public regarding this issue, and thus may influence their preferences for the influential candidate in this area. However, all of these influences must be considered carefully, as there are many issues and priorities that affect the results of the election. American votes. Therefore, the direct impact on it from the Palestinian developments clearly shows the extent of American dissatisfaction with Biden’s policies, which will have a direct impact on Biden’s political future, and more importantly, this may be a reason for Biden’s trial at a later stage.

From the perspective of political realism, it is difficult to determine the extent to which Netanyahu’s failure in the current war directly affects the American elections, as the American elections are considered an independent political process that depends on many factors. However, the political situation in Israel could affect the American position in support of Israel. As for Netanyahu, who is looking for additional American support to help him wage multiple wars, whether in southern Lebanon or even launch an attack against Iran, this matter will undoubtedly be another reason for presenting equations. The political failure that awaits Netanyahu after the end of the battle. As for the American position, it is clear that it is looking for stability, not escalation, and wants to keep the fireball away from its bases in the Middle East. From here, Netanyahu seems torn between submitting to a ceasefire, a humanitarian truce, negotiating for the prisoners, or a political fate. Unknown, it could lead him to prison.

Of course, if there is a failure by Netanyahu in Israel, this may lead to a change in American foreign policy towards Israel, and a new government may be formed in Israel that adopts different policies towards the Palestinian issue or achieves a change in relations between the United States and Israel, and thus the two-state solution, Moreover, the hundreds of thousands of demonstrations taking place in the United States express feelings of anger and dissatisfaction with the unlimited American support for Israel. These demonstrations may affect American policy in general, including the American position toward Israel, and the focus on domestic issues in the United States may lead to reduced interest in foreign affairs, including the Israeli-Palestinian issue.

However, we must note that relations between the United States and Israel depend on many factors, including strategic, security, and economic concerns. Therefore, Netanyahu’s failure in the war may have a limited impact on the American elections, but it is certain that the American position will be different this time and will reach the point of forcing Netanyahu to stop the war and begin negotiations about the prisoners, and reach a sustainable American solution that ends the state of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict.

However, the American position in support of Israel is considered a sensitive and important issue in the American elections, and any change in Israel’s policy or in the personality of the Prime Minister may affect some political gambles in the United States.

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