American forces and the controversy of the withdrawal from northeastern Syria

italiatelegraph

Written by .. Amjad Ismail Al-Agha

It has become clear that the phrase “withdrawal from Syria”, which Trump uses and the pillars of his will from time to time, is no longer surprising to many, so that the vocabulary of the American withdrawal from northeastern Syria, and the expectations, scenarios and concerns that follow with Washington’s allies and even in the axis opposing its policy All of this is being employed in multiple contexts that come within the framework of pressuring Washington’s allies, and on the other hand, in order to arrange the papers of the emerging scene in the United States, especially after Joe Biden’s victory and the defeat of Donald Trump, in the most controversial US elections.

On a parallel side, the equation of withdrawal from Syria is often accompanied by accusations against the so-called “deep state” that it will tamper with presidential orders and manipulate the procedures leading to the realization of the withdrawal. However, this trend has recently taken a more serious turn in light of the motives that move it, and people capable of Accomplished.

The new US Defense Secretary Christopher Miller, who was appointed by Trump instead of Mark Esper, expressed his determination to accelerate the withdrawal of his country’s forces from the Middle East, and in the same manner he echoed what Trump said on many occasions, “The time has come to return to the homeland” and “all wars must end.” . On the other hand, there is a partial that raises the seriousness of Miller’s statements regarding the appointment of Colonel Douglas MacGregor to the position of the first advisor to the Pentagon, which was considered by American policy experts as a clear indication of the Pentagon’s intention to accelerate the withdrawal of American forces from several areas in the Middle East, including Syria, just before The end of President Trump’s term, especially since MacGregor is known for his repeated calls for the withdrawal of American forces from Syria, and considers it necessary for “the absence of the interests of the United States in the region,” and also believes that his country “needs to listen very carefully to the Iranians, to know what their interests are and to search for areas in which we can.” Cooperation in it. “

Within this, many indications have surfaced on the surface of the American scene and the new trends of Trump, confirming his intention to implement the withdrawal before the end of his term, as the volume of dismissals that took place in the US Defense Department in recent days, which the Washington Post likened to a “purge”, extended In addition to Mark Esper, both Under Secretary of Defense for Political Affairs John Anderson, Under Secretary of Defense for Intelligence Joseph Kiernan, and Pentagon Chief of Staff Jane Stewart; To replace the three with employees more loyal to Trump’s political agenda.

Pursuant to the above, the American media caught up with the tensions in the corridors of the White House as well as the US Department of Defense, describing it as a coup that was planned over a period of months to overthrow some of the leaders of the “Pentagon”, thus clearing the way for the American President to control the military institution, and then The initiative to direct some policies before his time in the White House ends.

What the US special envoy for the Syrian file resigned from his post, James Jeffrey, described as “playing a cup and ball game,” in order to deceive Trump, who is known for his lack of interest in details. The former US State Department special envoy for the Syrian file, Frederick Hof, translated it to the Russian newspaper, Nezavisimaya Gazeta, when he explained The essence of the game that Jeffrey referred to is summarized in one of the ways of deploying different numbers of American forces in Syria is to designate some of them as “permanent”, that is, as basic forces for operations, and to name the others “temporary.” This could be a unit that arrived, for example, to Syria from Iraq, to support the main forces for a limited period. He said, “It is possible to replace the temporary forces withdrawing from Syria, which makes it possible to deploy more forces on the ground, more than those that are sent there on a permanent basis.”

At first glance and within the above American statements and refuting them, with their projection on the reality of the region, it becomes clear to us that Donald Trump seeks to engineer a reality inside the American interior, whose shadow remains dominant over the Pentagon and most American institutions, but within the more profound determinants, it seems that what drives Trump is Retaliation against his opponents in the Democratic Party, and his attempts to complicate matters as much as possible, specifically during the Biden period, in order to send a message to those who voted for Biden that their choice was wrong, and that the problems would pursue the Americans who had diverged from Trump, thus enabling Trump to pave the way to dislodge Democrats from Power with the end of Biden.

The truth of the matter is that Donald Trump, regardless of the reality systems he wants in the American interior, the obstacles to withdrawing from the region are many and multiple, and they can be summarized as follows:

First – There is no doubt that the United States is concerned primarily with the security of the Israeli entity, as the American presence in northeastern Syria, specifically in the Al-Tanf region, aims to prevent the Syrian state and its allies, specifically Iran, from establishing advanced bases that may pose a direct threat to the security of Israel, and thus the withdrawal may be The American from Afghanistan and Iraq is an option, but from Syria, this matter requires strategic calculations, not climate, to entrench them at the present time.

Second – the organic interdependence between the American forces and the SDF, which puts the American withdrawal within the framework of the self-destruction of all American tools in northeastern Syria, especially since the Qasd and ISIS are tools of American investment, and with the withdrawal of American forces, American interests will be subject to numerous threats, and it has been previously objected. Members of the Democratic and Republican parties in Congress, on Trump’s intention to withdraw from eastern Syria, considering this a threat to US interests.

Third – The partial time remaining for Trump in the presidency of the United States imposes a scene that is difficult to overcome or achieve what Trump aspires, and the deep state does not want the withdrawal of American forces from northeastern Syria, and is able to abort Trump’s decision, for logistical and security reasons, but On the other hand, Trump may be allowed to return some troops, while keeping enough troops in the framework of the US military representation in Syria, until the Biden administration returns the forces to what they were in the past.

In conclusion, the withdrawal of American forces from Syria is difficult to implement in light of the political and military timing in Syria, and this decision is beyond Trump’s ability for a fundamental reason related to the security of the Israeli entity, as well as the long-term US interests in the region, as investment in the Syrian file will continue with The new US administration, and Joe Biden will not be allowed to approach this file or invest it, and it is more likely that Biden will reduce the number of his country’s forces, but such a measure will not change the equations on the ground, nor will it change much of the rules of the game in the Syrian arena.

italiatelegraph